Professor ofAstrakhan State University Talks about Models ofEpidemic Spread

29.07.2020
Professor ofAstrakhan State University Talks about Models ofEpidemic Spread

Head ofthe Research Laboratory Mathematical Modeling &ICT inScience &Education, Dr. Sci.inPhysics and Mathematics, Prof. Yuri Tarasevich held awebinar Epidemic Spread Modeling onJuly, 27at the Boiling Point Centre ofAstrakhan State University.

The scientist talked about the history of appearance and types of infection spread models, their connection with the models of innovation diffusion and spread of rumors, panics and excitable media. The professor notes that epidemic models have been popular over the last decades. An interest to them has grown due to the COVID-19 spread. According to Yuri Tarasevich, the number of publications on this issue has dramatically grown over the last six months.

As the professor says, different models should be applied for addressing different tasks. If we consider the epidemic spread across a dense-population territory, it is better to use models that are described with ordinary differential equations. Percolation models are good for describing the spread of plant diseases on plantations, while network models are efficient for analysis of the effects connected with social relations and people’s individual features.

After the lecture, the professor answered some questions of the online meeting participants.

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